Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-10-06 0.020660 0.022186 0.023774 0.025551 0.027488 0.029536 0.031868
2024-10-13 0.017948 0.020121 0.022500 0.025305 0.028532 0.032140 0.036494
2024-10-20 0.015910 0.018411 0.021252 0.024736 0.028914 0.033790 0.039949
2024-10-27 0.014809 0.017589 0.020847 0.024975 0.030102 0.036309 0.044466
2024-11-03 0.013828 0.016786 0.020345 0.024980 0.030913 0.038329 0.048418
2024-11-10 0.013157 0.016286 0.020139 0.025285 0.032056 0.040771 0.053015
2024-11-17 0.012328 0.015516 0.019522 0.024990 0.032358 0.042087 0.056152
2024-11-24 0.011681 0.014930 0.019088 0.024878 0.032858 0.043654 0.059690
2024-12-01 0.011021 0.014281 0.018523 0.024539 0.033000 0.044702 0.062525
2024-12-08 0.010574 0.013886 0.018265 0.024588 0.033659 0.046486 0.066513
2024-12-15 0.010039 0.013339 0.017767 0.024262 0.033750 0.047433 0.069288
2024-12-22 0.009494 0.012750 0.017178 0.023766 0.033550 0.047921 0.071363
2024-12-29 0.009067 0.012311 0.016781 0.023532 0.033729 0.048994 0.074447
2025-01-05 0.008669 0.011894 0.016393 0.023287 0.033872 0.050010 0.077501
2025-01-12 0.008219 0.011381 0.015843 0.022767 0.033555 0.050278 0.079326
2025-01-19 0.008015 0.011213 0.015785 0.022983 0.034385 0.052397 0.084389
2025-01-26 0.007765 0.010968 0.015599 0.022987 0.034873 0.053981 0.088634
2025-02-02 0.007605 0.010847 0.015591 0.023263 0.035806 0.056342 0.094408
2025-02-09 0.007314 0.010517 0.015251 0.022996 0.035828 0.057166 0.097464
2025-02-16 0.007083 0.010268 0.015023 0.022895 0.036116 0.058451 0.101449
2025-02-23 0.006815 0.009952 0.014680 0.022587 0.036036 0.059084 0.104240
2025-03-02 0.006645 0.009782 0.014555 0.022631 0.036554 0.060795 0.109214
2025-03-09 0.006407 0.009495 0.014236 0.022336 0.036464 0.061403 0.112066